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Poll: Obama surges ahead among Catholic voters
Sep.
27, 2012, By
Daniel Burke, Religion News Service
U.S.
President Barack Obama accepts the 2012 U.S Democratic presidential nomination
during the final session of Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, N.C.,
Sept. 6. (CNS/Reuters/Jim Young)
President
Barack Obama's support among Catholic voters has surged since June, according
to a new poll, despite a summer that included the Catholic bishops' religious
freedom campaign and the naming of Rep. Paul Ryan, a Catholic, as the GOP's
vice-presidential candidate.
On
June 17, Obama held a slight edge over Mitt Romney among Catholics (49percent
to 47 percent), according to the Pew Research Center. Since then, Obama has
surged ahead, and now leads 54 percent to 39 percent, according to a Pew poll
conducted Sept. 16.
Among
all registered voters, Obama leads Romney 51 percent to 42 percent, according
to Pew.
Obama
and Romney are essentially tied among white Catholics, which some pollsters
call the ultimate swing group.
On
Monday, Romney unveiled his Catholics for Romney Coalition, which includes
numerous politicians, beer magnate Pete Coors and Princeton University
intellectual Robert P. George. The Obama campaign also has a Catholic
coalition.
From
June 21 to July 4, the U.S. Catholic bishops held a "Fortnight for
Freedom," with Masses, prayer groups and presentations in dozens of
dioceses nationwide. The campaign was directed in part against an Obama
administration mandate that requires some religious institutions, such as
colleges and hospitals, to provide cost-free contraception coverage to
employees.
John
C. Green, an expert on religion and politics at the University of Akron in
Ohio, said Obama's surge among Catholic voters does not mean the bishops'
campaign was ineffective. But religious freedom is not the most salient issue
for Catholics during an election dominated by economic concerns, he said.
"It's
not the issue that most middle-of-the-road Catholics are responding to,"
Green said.
In
mid-August, Romney named Ryan, a congressman from Wisconsin and lifelong
Catholic, as his vice-presidential nominee. While many conservative Catholics
cheered the move, Romney received no "Catholic bounce" from selecting
Ryan, according to the Pew poll. Obama's vice-presidential running mate, Joe
Biden, is also Catholic.
Liberal
Catholics have chastised Ryan for using his Catholic faith to defend his GOP
budget plan, which lowers taxes on the wealthy while cutting programs for the
poor.
Among
white evangelicals (they do not accept Jesus as the Messiah, they are expecting
the Messiah still to come, most probably Romney is their Messiah, the one who
will abolish the middle class and deprive the poor of food, shelter, assistance
etc, all that is necessary to live: this is their PROLIFE POSITION)), another
crucial religious constituency, Romney's support has inched up since July, from
69 percent to 74 percent, according to the Pew poll, while Obama's percentage
declined.
Despite
concerns that Obama's support for same-sex marriage would alienate
African-American Protestants, 95 percent still back Obama over Romney.
Obama
also leads among Americans with no religious affiliation, 65 percent to 27
percent. Romney leads among Americans who attend worship services at least
weekly, 51percent to 42 percent.
The
margin of error for the September survey of Catholic voters is plus or minus
5.1 percentage points, according to Pew.
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